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The Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund, working with its Financial Services Team, is developing options to present to the State Board of Administration for claims financing this hurricane season if the FHCF is unable to timely secure necessary bonding in the troubled New York financial markets. A special SBA meeting scheduled for Tuesday, June 17, was postponed because details of the alternative were not finalized.
The Financial Services Team consists of Aon, Guy Carpenter and US
RE. In a June 6 memo, it proposed three "Reinsurance and Risk Finance
Options:" an annual aggregate reinsurance layer $5 billion in excess
of the Cat Fund's mandatory layer; an annual aggregate reinsurance
layer of $5 billion in excess of the mandatory layer, with an
agreement to repay 50 percent of any losses ceded within three years;
and a revenue bond "put" option allowing the FHCF to issue bonds to
reinsurers at the then current market vbalue without an interest rate
step-up.
These options were discussed by the Advisory Council June 9, but no
recommendation made. Cat Fund officers have been meeting behind closed
doors, apparently with the strategy team and aides to the SBA trustees -
Governor Crist, Chief Financial Officer Alex Sink and Attorney General
Bill McCollom.
As John Forney of Raymond James noted in his own June 6 memo, the
Cat Fund enters the 2008 hurricane season "with larger usable cash
resources than it has ever had before - over $8 billion - and a
multi-year claims-paying capacity of over $55 billion."
"A storm causing residential insured losses of over $15 billion would
be required before any bonding would be needed," Forney noted - a storm
that would rank only behind Hurricane Andrew and Hurricane Katrina in
insured losses. If bonding is required, the Cat Fund's senior manging
underwriter team believes "that even in the currently difficult market
environment, the FHCF could raise at least $10 billion in the bond
markets in the first several months after an event."
"Despite this strong financial picture presented by the FHCF,
concerns remain about its ability to meet its maximum potential
obligations in an extreme storm event. For the 2008 storm season, this
maximum obligation...could be over $29 billion. The resources described
above, including the estimated amount of bonding accessible with
reasonable certainty...come to about $18 billion...there is the
potential for up to an $11 billion temporary financing shortfall that
could cause reimbursement payments to be delayed."
We hope to have more details soon on the specific proposal or proposals to be presented to the SBA. In the meantime, here are background materials distributed to the Cat Fund Advisory Council, including the two memos cited above.
Nicholson Powerpoint for June 9 Advisory Council Meeting
Nicholson Powerpoint for June 9 Advisory Council Meeting
RJA FHCF Hurricane Season Funding Update
RJA FHCF Hurricane Season Funding Update
FHCF Reinsurance Assessment Findings
FHCF Reinsurance Assessment Findings
FST Reinsurance & Risk Financing Options
Cat Fund Financial Services Team Options
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